Archive for November, 2010

Bernanke Bond Buying May Risk Rise in Prices Similar to 2004

The Federal Reserve may be underestimating the inflation outlook for the second time in less than a decade as it prepares to pump more money into the U.S. economy.

The Fed today will probably restart purchases of bonds to spur the economy even as growth is likely to accelerate at a 2.6 percent annual pace in the second quarter of next year from 2 percent last quarter, according Bloomberg News surveys of economists. The Fed will likely pledge to buy $500 billion or more in securities, according to 29 of 56 economists surveyed.

The sting in the tail risk

Investor demand for protection from downside risk has led to a number of recent tail-risk protection launches. But as September’s equities rally puts hedge funds in sight of positive year-end performance, are many abandoning safety hedges for beta?

QE2 is risky and should be limited

he Federal Reserve’s proposed policy of quantitative easing is a dangerous gamble with only a small potential upside benefit and substantial risks of creating asset bubbles that could destabilise the global economy. Although the US economy is weak and the outlook uncertain, QE is not the right remedy.

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